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Crown Green Handicap

Adrian Cairns

Team: Oxton Conservative ClubDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

678

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

57

Matches Played

19

Wins

38

Losses

33%

Win Rate

6.3

Avg Win Margin

10.0

Avg Loss Margin

9-18

Home Record

10-20

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
53 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/14/2026

A large recent sample: 53 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 39-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player6/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 57 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

3 May14 Jun5 Aug30 May21 Jul24 Apr8 Jun14 Aug-13714

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(40%)
36%
score-0.28→contribution-0.11
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
6.3
score-0.29→contribution-0.07
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.6
score-0.26→contribution-0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
15%
score-0.70→contribution-0.07
Opponent Strength(10%)
834
score-0.48→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.343
Sample Size Confidence
100%(53/39 matches)
Rating828 → shrunk 828→ adjusted 678
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)678
Recency Blend40% (53 recent matches)
Final Rating678
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

19W38L57 matches·33.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Oxton Conservative Club2018–2026League 2, League 157193833.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/14/2026Ian MckillopH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2
8/7/2026John KayllA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
7/31/2026Matthew IrvingH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
7/24/2026Les RaynorA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
7/17/2026Scott FergussonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
7/10/2026John SinkinsonA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 2
7/3/2026Phil HaleH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 2
6/12/2026Shirley BrownA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 2
6/8/2026Ken HannawayH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2
6/5/2026Andrew DobsonA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 2
5/29/2026Ken WilliamsA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
5/22/2026Linda DarlingtonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
5/18/2026David ChapmanH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
5/15/2026Mark WoodA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
5/8/2026Babs WoodwardA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 2
4/24/2026Gary HughesA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2
8/22/2025Ray WilliamsH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 2
8/18/2025Jimmy KearneyA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 2
8/15/2025Joe EdwardsH4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 2
8/11/2025Kevin ExellA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 2
8/4/2025Ron AstleH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 2
7/25/2025Anita MeldrumA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 2
7/21/2025Brian GouldsonH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
7/18/2025Lee NaylorA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
7/11/2025Darren HallH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 2
6/20/2025vs New Brighton Quarry Vikings CH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 2
6/13/2025Steve HollywoodA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
6/9/2025Gill SheenH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 2
6/6/2025Kish BalgobinA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
5/30/2025Rita PlattH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 2
5/23/2025Chris BarlowA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
5/16/2025Cathy DohertyH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 2
5/9/2025Ann BrownA1-21LOSS-20LeagueLeague 2
4/25/2025Dave GarlickA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
8/23/2024Christian TitherH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 2
8/12/2024Mike DunneA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
8/5/2024Alan DunbarH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2
8/2/2024Linette NashA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
7/26/2024Margaret PageH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 2
7/22/2024vs KendalH4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 2
7/19/2024Steve CrightonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
7/12/2024Tony RatcliffeH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 2
6/21/2024vs Gladstone BA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2
6/14/2024Katrina LockwoodH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 2
6/7/2024Lee NaylorA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
6/3/2024Robert LeachH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 2
5/31/2024Margaret PageA21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 2
5/24/2024Tommy RobertsH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 2
5/17/2024Jackie ThompsonA4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 2
5/10/2024Ron AstleA21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 2
5/3/2024Jane BradshawH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 2
4/26/2024Jake BreurA21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 2
4/22/2024Tommy SadlerH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
5/26/2023Daniel JeffriesA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 2
6/10/2022James IsaacA3-21LOSS-18LeagueLeague 1
6/6/2022James IsaacH5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 1
8/6/2018Jack WilsonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl9 games · 4W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundRonald HerseeGreat Meols21-6WINWON
Round of 16 RoundNikki MellingHoylake Central & Melrose B6-21LOSSLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundBabs WoodwardPort Sunlight Village & Works21-16WINLOST
20242 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundAnn BrownHoylake Central & Melrose B14-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundMarc DaughertyWest Kirby Victoria16-21LOSSLOST
20192 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundJonathan Nowell-fennaPoulton21-8WINWON
Round of 16 RoundGraham JordanCammell Laird17-21LOSSWON
20182 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundJan HulicanManor Road B21-13WINWON
Round of 16 Round# Ray FarrellHoylake Central & Melrose12-21LOSSLOST
Cartwright Cup2 games · 1W
20252 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundMary FishwickHoylake Central & Melrose B21-7WINWON
Quarters RoundJamie SmithCammell Laird3-21LOSSLOST
Frank Hurst Trophy6 games · 3W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundDave EvansHoylake Central & Melrose B12-21LOSSLOST
20233 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundMally LloydBebington Park21-11WINWON
Semi Final RoundAnn BrownHoylake Central & Melrose B21-18WINWON
Final RoundMark HadfieldOxton Conservative Club12-21LOSSLOST
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundChris TippeyTixall B12-21LOSSLOST
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundPeter McgheeCammell Laird21-7WINWON
Graham White Cup3 games · 1W
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundIain HutchinsonNew Brighton Quarry Vikings B12-21LOSSLOST
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundDave CrostonManor Road B12-21LOSSLOST
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJoan GoudieThingwall B21-10WINWON
Stott Cup2 games · 2W
20242 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundBill PlattBromborough Social21-10WINWON
Quarters RoundJoe BrettAlbany21-13WINLOST
Doctor Dawson Victory Cup1 games · 0W
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundBob HodgsonUpton Victory Hall B9-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

7losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

10

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1030% win rate↓ declining
LLLLLLLWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ron Astle202100%8/4/2025
Lee Naylor202100%7/18/2025
Margaret Page202100%7/26/2024
James Isaac0220%6/10/2022
Ian Mckillop0110%8/14/2026
John Kayll0110%8/7/2026
Matthew Irving0110%7/31/2026
Les Raynor0110%7/24/2026
Scott Fergusson0110%7/17/2026
John Sinkinson0110%7/10/2026
Biggest Win
Margaret Page (+16)5/31/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Ann Brown (-20)5/9/2025
Best Season
202544% · 18 matches
Worst Season
202619% · 16 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
36% → 31%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
84254 known · 3 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-90% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
17-2838% win rate

By Division

League 219-36 (35%)
League 10-2 (0%)
League 10%
0W·2L·2 played
League 234.5%
19W·36L·55 played

Debut

Aug 6, 2018

Latest

Aug 14, 2026

Seasons Active

6 (8.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

9.5 (57 total)

Seasons

201820222023202420252026